The constraints are the product. Everything below is generated from the same database that produces the figures, so it describes this build and not a previous one.
Every rent on this site is an achieved rent: what a tenant actually started paying, taken from a bond lodged with a state authority. It is not an advertised asking rent, which is what the property portals and most commercial forecasters measure. The two are different populations observed at different moments, and a figure from one cannot settle a claim about the other.
Of 2,351,786 figures held, 2,351,503 can be published. The rest are waiting on a licence or failed a coherence check.
The label travels with the number, on the page and in the database. It is the difference between quoting a government and making a claim of our own.
| Label | On a page it reads | Published | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|
| OBSERVED | As publishedbeside a figure: “publisher’s figure” | 2,302,172 | The publisher computed this figure and we reproduce it. Nothing was recalculated, rebased, smoothed or interpolated. If the publisher revises it, our figure changes with theirs and the archive still holds what it said before. |
| CALCULATED | Computed by APRIQbeside a figure: “our calculation” | 49,331 | Arithmetic on observed figures, or a statistic computed from records the publisher released. A gross yield is an observed rent over an observed price. A Tasmanian median is ours, because Tasmania releases the tenancies and no median. The inputs and the rule are published beside the result, and the count it rests on travels with it. |
| MODELLED | never appears on a market page | 0 | An estimate. Nothing modelled is published on a market page, and nothing modelled may feed a calculated figure - that rule is what stops an estimate laundering itself into an observation two steps later. Forecast ranges are the only modelled output here and they are labelled as forecasts, on their own page. |
| LICENSED | never appears on a market page | 0 | Third-party data used under a commercial licence. We hold none, which is why there are no dwelling values outside New South Wales and South Australia. |
The first column is the word in the database. The second is what a reader sees, and it is written here by the same two functions that write it on every market page — so these are not a description of the vocabulary, they are the vocabulary.
Each state publishes on its own schedule and none of them tells us in advance. So this says what the latest quarter is, when it ended, and nothing about when the next one will arrive — a predicted release date would be the only invented figure on the site.
| State | Publisher | Latest figures | That quarter ended | Next quarter |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New South Wales | NSW Department of Communities and Justice | June quarter 2026 | 30 June 2026 | September quarter 2026, ending 30 September 2026 |
| Queensland | Residential Tenancies Authority | June quarter 2026 | 30 June 2026 | September quarter 2026, ending 30 September 2026 |
| South Australia | South Australian Housing Trust | June quarter 2026 | 30 June 2026 | September quarter 2026, ending 30 September 2026 |
| Tasmania | Tasmanian Department of Justice | June quarter 2026 | 30 June 2026 | September quarter 2026, ending 30 September 2026 |
| Victoria | Department of Families, Fairness and Housing | twelve months to September quarter 2025 | 30 September 2025 | December quarter 2025 has closed and has not appeared here |
Each of these exists because breaking it produced a wrong number here first.
Every source file is stored by its own SHA-256 hash exactly as retrieved, before anything reads it, and never overwritten. 641 retrievals are on record. Re-pulling each quarter turns into revision detection: when a publisher restates a figure we can show what it said before, because we still have the file.
Pages read from publishable_observation, which excludes any source whose licence is not confirmed in writing and any figure that failed a coherence check. Of 2,351,786 observations held, 2,351,503 can be published. Data we may not publish is invisible here by construction rather than by anyone remembering.
Publishers report an area only in the quarters where it cleared their reporting threshold, so two suburbs' histories are different lengths. Counting back four rows would compare 2025 with 2021 for one and 2025 with 2019 for the next, and label both "one year". A missing quarter produces no figure rather than a wrong one.
Any figure that sums or averages across areas uses a balanced panel - the same areas in every period - because a publisher adding an area between quarters would otherwise show up as market movement. Where that drops coverage, the share kept is published beside the figure.
Publishers occasionally rebuild a series and the whole level steps. A detector looks for that signature - a large move, nearly every area moving the same way, and an unusually tight spread of moves - and a confirmed break goes into a registry so no growth figure is ever measured across one. One is on record.
Confidence records how much evidence a figure rests on; a separate coherence check records whether it makes sense at all, and it is quarantined on 200 sales as readily as on two. Three ways a figure fails it: a median that falls outside its own quartiles, a weekly rent no Australian market reaches at either end, and a figure out of line with both the quarter before it and the quarter after it while those two agree with each other. 283 figures are held back that way and cannot reach a page.
Ranges are published, never point estimates, and only at horizons where the method demonstrably beat carrying the last value forward. It failed that test at eight quarters, so 4 quarters is the longest horizon offered. Every range is graded in public against the same scoring rule other forecasters are graded by.
A publisher rebuilt the series here. No growth figure is measured across one of these; the series is treated as two.
| Series | Break | Step | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| NSW total_bonds_held | 2017-Q3 → 2017-Q4 | -7.4% | Detector: z 12.3, 99% of 388 postcodes moving together, dispersion 0.19 of the median move. Confirmed in the publisher workbooks: postcode 2007 Total/Total reads 2231 in issue 121 (Sep 2017), 1885 in issue 122 (Dec 2017) and 1946 in issue 123 (Mar 2018), with dwelling sub-rows summing consistently to each, so the figures are as printed. New Bonds Lodged over the same step moved a normal -4.7%, and the report gained its annual-change columns at the same issue. The quarter spanning it reports a 16.4% closure rate against a 7.4-10.6% band everywhere else. |
Read from the source register, which is also what the licence gate consults. A source marked withheld is loaded and cannot reach a page.
| Publisher | Licence and attribution | Figures | Span | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Australian Bureau of Statistics AU · geography | CC BY 4.0 © Commonwealth of Australia (Australian Bureau of Statistics) | — | — | Published |
| Department of Health and Aged Care AU · geography | CC BY 2.5 AU © Commonwealth of Australia (Department of Health and Aged Care) | — | — | Published |
| Australian Bureau of Statistics AU · population | CC BY 4.0 © Commonwealth of Australia (Australian Bureau of Statistics) | 507 | 2025-06 – 2025-06 | Published |
| Australian Bureau of Statistics AU · population | CC BY 4.0 © Commonwealth of Australia (Australian Bureau of Statistics) | 7,281 | 2025-06 – 2025-06 | Published |
| Australian Bureau of Statistics AU · population | CC BY 4.0 © Commonwealth of Australia (Australian Bureau of Statistics) | 4,225 | 2001-06 – 2025-06 | Published |
| Australian Bureau of Statistics AU · population | CC BY 4.0 © Commonwealth of Australia (Australian Bureau of Statistics) | 59,966 | 2001-06 – 2025-06 | Published |
| Australian Bureau of Statistics AU · rent | CC BY 4.0 © Commonwealth of Australia (Australian Bureau of Statistics) | — | — | Published |
| Australian Bureau of Statistics AU · rent | CC BY 4.0 © Commonwealth of Australia (Australian Bureau of Statistics) | 13,175 | 2021-Q3 – 2021-Q3 | Published |
| Australian Bureau of Statistics AU · supply | CC BY 4.0 © Commonwealth of Australia (Australian Bureau of Statistics) | 4,813 | 1980-Q3 – 2026-Q1 | Published |
| Australian Bureau of Statistics AU · supply | CC BY 4.0 © Commonwealth of Australia (Australian Bureau of Statistics) | 5,551 | 1955-Q1 – 2026-Q1 | Published |
| Australian Bureau of Statistics AU · supply | CC BY 4.0 © Commonwealth of Australia (Australian Bureau of Statistics) | 2,484 | 2003-Q2 – 2026-Q1 | Published |
| Australian Bureau of Statistics AU · supply | CC BY 4.0 © Commonwealth of Australia (Australian Bureau of Statistics) | 5,711 | 1957-Q1 – 2026-Q1 | Published |
| Australian Bureau of Statistics AU · supply | CC BY 4.0 © Commonwealth of Australia (Australian Bureau of Statistics) | 6,084 | 2021-07 – 2022-06 | Published |
| Australian Bureau of Statistics AU · supply | CC BY 4.0 © Commonwealth of Australia (Australian Bureau of Statistics) | 6,084 | 2022-07 – 2023-06 | Published |
| Australian Bureau of Statistics AU · supply | CC BY 4.0 © Commonwealth of Australia (Australian Bureau of Statistics) | 6,084 | 2023-07 – 2024-06 | Published |
| Australian Bureau of Statistics AU · supply | CC BY 4.0 © Commonwealth of Australia (Australian Bureau of Statistics) | 6,084 | 2024-07 – 2025-06 | Published |
| Australian Bureau of Statistics AU · supply | CC BY 4.0 © Commonwealth of Australia (Australian Bureau of Statistics) | 6,084 | 2025-07 – 2026-06 | Published |
| Australian Bureau of Statistics AU · supply | CC BY 4.0 © Commonwealth of Australia (Australian Bureau of Statistics) | 87,372 | 2021-07 – 2022-06 | Published |
| Australian Bureau of Statistics AU · supply | CC BY 4.0 © Commonwealth of Australia (Australian Bureau of Statistics) | 87,372 | 2022-07 – 2023-06 | Published |
| Australian Bureau of Statistics AU · supply | CC BY 4.0 © Commonwealth of Australia (Australian Bureau of Statistics) | 87,372 | 2023-07 – 2024-06 | Published |
| Australian Bureau of Statistics AU · supply | CC BY 4.0 © Commonwealth of Australia (Australian Bureau of Statistics) | 87,372 | 2024-07 – 2025-06 | Published |
| Australian Bureau of Statistics AU · supply | CC BY 4.0 © Commonwealth of Australia (Australian Bureau of Statistics) | 87,372 | 2025-07 – 2026-06 | Published |
| NSW Department of Communities and Justice NSW · rent | CC BY 4.0 © State of New South Wales (Department of Communities and Justice) | 818,856 | 2017-Q3 – 2026-Q2 | Published |
| NSW Department of Communities and Justice NSW · value | CC BY 4.0 © State of New South Wales (Department of Communities and Justice) | 162,453 | 2017-Q2 – 2026-Q2/2026-Q1 | Published |
| Residential Tenancies Authority QLD · rent | CC BY 3.0 AU © The State of Queensland Residential Tenancies Authority 2011 | 152,615 | 2012-Q1 – 2026-Q2 | Published |
| South Australian Housing Trust SA · rent | CC BY 4.0 © Government of South Australia (South Australian Housing Trust) | 487,410 | 2008-Q2 – 2026-Q2 | Published |
| Department for Housing and Urban Development SA · value | CC BY 4.0 © Government of South Australia (Department for Housing and Urban Development) | 35,600 | 2014-Q1 – 2026-Q2 | Published |
| Tasmanian Department of Justice TAS · rent | CC BY 4.0 © State of Tasmania (Department of Justice) | 11,698 | 2016-Q4 – 2026-Q2 | Published |
| Tasmanian Department of Justice TAS · rent | CC BY 2.5 © State of Tasmania (Department of Justice) | 1,389 | 2021-Q3 – 2022-Q2 | Published |
| Department of Families, Fairness and Housing VIC · rent | CC BY 4.0 © State of Victoria (Homes Victoria) | 110,772 | 2000-Q1 – 2025-Q3 | Published |
| Valuer-General Victoria VIC · value | CC BY (portal records disagree on version — see docs/sources.md) attribution not yet recorded | — | — | Withheld |
1 source is held back pending a licence confirmed in writing: Valuer-General Victoria. Nothing from it appears anywhere on this site.
| A national rent figure | Nobody publishes one on this basis. Bond data is administered state by state and the definitions differ, so averaging them would invent the figure a reader would trust most. |
|---|---|
| A city median built from suburb medians | It would count a suburb of forty tenancies equally with one of four thousand. Where a publisher computes a regional figure over every bond inside it, that is shown and named as theirs. |
| Average tenancy length | Computable from bonds held and bonds lodged, and wrong: the identity assumes a steady state the market has not been in. |
| Point forecasts | A single number invites a precision the evidence does not support. Ranges only, at 4 quarters or less, each with the measured coverage beside it (1q ±7.5%, 2q ±8.4%, 4q ±10.9% at 80%). |
| Anything scraped | Portal listings are copyright, their terms prohibit it, and they are asking rents rather than achieved ones. The legitimate route is a commercial licence. |
It is a claim about APRIQ’s evidence chain, and it is worth being exact about its two halves, because they are different things and only one of them is a promise about this page.
For every figure: the organisation that published it, the file, the exact address it was retrieved from, when it was retrieved, the sha256 of the bytes, which retrieval run fetched it, every transformation applied on the way to the number you see, the geography it describes, and when it became knowable. That record is complete and does not depend on what any page displays.
What kind of evidence it is, how many observations sit behind it, the period it covers, whether it was observed or calculated, how its geography was resolved, how strong and how fresh the evidence is, and the method applied. Source identity comes after those, because those are the things that tell you whether to rely on a number.
Wherever a licence requires it, exactly as the licence asks — and every source APRIQ currently holds is openly licensed on those terms, so every figure on this site names its publisher and links its file. Naming is never withheld to avoid a licensing obligation; a source that could not be used openly would not be used at all.
If APRIQ later publishes evidence it observed itself rather than received from a government release, those figures will say so plainly — independently observed market evidence, with their count, period, geography and quality — without listing the individual sites observed. You will always be able to tell what kind of evidence supports a number. Nothing here will be dressed up as government data.
So “traceable to source” does not mean this site prints every address every observation came from, and it never claimed to. It means APRIQ can follow any published figure back through its evidence chain to the bytes it came from, and that what a reader is told about the nature and quality of that evidence is accurate.
Four different things, which “updated today” blurs into one.
A figure has a reference period — what it describes. It has a publication date — when its publisher released it. There is a checked date — when APRIQ last asked that publisher whether anything newer exists. And for evidence APRIQ collects itself rather than downloads, there is an observed date. A green badge reading “updated today” over a figure describing last June is true about the check and false about everything a reader would take from it, so all four are shown separately.
Whether something is current is measured against its own publisher’s cadence, not against today. The 2021 Census is the most recent Census and will be until 2027; annual population data is not stale a week after release. What makes a dataset late is an expected release failing to arrive.
| Dataset | Published by | Describes | Published | Checked | Next due | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASGS geographic correspondencesPer ASGS edition. Edition 3 covers 2021 to 2026. Navigation only — no published figure is derived from it. | Australian Bureau of Statistics | Nothing held | Never | Today | No fixed schedule | No fixed schedule |
| Building approvals — dwelling units approvedMonthly, about four weeks after the reference month. The sub-state geography cubes follow the headline release by roughly a week. | Australian Bureau of Statistics | June 2026 | 6 August 2026 | Today | 6 September 2026 | Current |
| Census General Community ProfileEvery five years. The 2021 Census first release was 28 June 2022; the next Census is 2026 with data following in 2027. Not stale in the meantime — it is the most recent Census there is. | Australian Bureau of Statistics | September quarter 2021 | 28 June 2022 | Today | No fixed schedule | No fixed schedule |
| Regional populationAnnual, about nine months after the 30 June reference date. The 2024-25 edition was released 31 March 2026 and restates every year back to 2001. | Australian Bureau of Statistics | June 2025 | 31 March 2026 | Today | 1 April 2027 | Current |
| Metropolitan median house salesQuarterly. The eight most recent editions appeared 15 to 34 days after the quarter ended. | Department for Housing and Urban Development | June quarter 2026 | 9 August 2026 | Today | 9 November 2026 | Current |
| Victorian Rental Report — moving annual rents by suburbQuarterly. DFFH blocks automated requests, so neither its schedule nor the date any edition went up could be read from a primary source — which is why Victoria is three quarters behind every other state here and APRIQ cannot say whether that is DFFH or itself. | Department of Families, Fairness and Housing | September quarter 2025 | Never | Never | No fixed schedule | Check failing (3 in a row) |
| Rent and Sales Report — rent tablesQuarterly. DCJ publishes no stated schedule; the June 2026 quarter was on the page by 18 August 2026, about eight weeks after the quarter closed. | NSW Department of Communities and Justice | June quarter 2026 | Today | Today | 25 November 2026 | Current |
| Rent and Sales Report — sales tablesQuarterly, released alongside the rent tables but one quarter further behind: the March 2026 quarter was the latest on 18 August 2026. | NSW Department of Communities and Justice | March quarter 2026 | Today | Today | 25 November 2026 | Current |
| Median rents quarterly dataQuarterly, for the March, June, September and December quarters. The RTA announced the June 2025 quarter on 18 July 2025, 18 days after it closed. | Residential Tenancies Authority | June quarter 2026 | 4 August 2026 | Today | 4 November 2026 | Current |
| Private Rental ReportQuarterly. The eight most recent editions appeared 42 to 63 days after the quarter they cover ended. | South Australian Housing Trust | June quarter 2026 | 8 September 2026 | Today | 9 December 2026 | Current |
| Rental bond and rental dataMonthly. The eight most recent releases appeared 11 to 46 days after the month ended. | Tasmanian Department of Justice | June quarter 2026 | 19 August 2026 | Today | 19 September 2026 | Current |
1 of these has never been checked. A check reads the publisher’s own release page rather than re-downloading the file, and is skipped entirely where the next release is not yet due — re-fetching an unchanged cube daily to claim a daily update produces nothing. Detecting a change is also not ingesting one: new data still passes through the archive and every validation gate before it reaches a page.
If a figure here is wrong, the fault is ours and the correction is published rather than argued. Every figure carries the source, the licence, the retrieval date, the file hash, the period, the method and the classification, so a disagreement can be settled against the file rather than against an opinion.