1. Australia
  2. Queensland
  3. Moreton Bay Regional
  4. North Lakes

North Lakes

Property market overview for this Queensland suburb.

Market definition

This market is the suburb as the publisher names and groups it in its own release. The boundary is the publisher’s naming, not a boundary APRIQ drew and not an ABS or postal polygon.

Latest data

North Lakes in thirty seconds

suburb · Wider area
Population growth Weak
Main population driver Net overseas migration
Approved pipeline Expanding
Housing delivery Moderate
Rental pressure Low
Market coverage Limited

Population grew +0.6% over the year to 30 June 2025, against +1.5% for Australia over the same period.

Net overseas migration was the largest component of that change.

Dwelling approvals were +150.0% against the twelve months before. Approvals are permission to build, not completed dwellings.

Completions in the March quarter 2026 were equivalent to 81% of commencements, for Queensland. These figures compare pipeline flows and do not track individual approved dwellings through construction.

Achieved rents moved +4.6% over the year, against +7.4% for the middle suburb in Queensland.

These signals are shown separately so you can see what is driving the market. Explore them under Demand & supply below.

At $680 a week, North Lakes is higher than 61% of the 563 QLD suburbs we hold.

Rents there are up 4.6% over the past year, slower than Queensland as a whole (up 8.3%).

Based on 182 new leases. Enough to be meaningful, but a single unusual quarter will move it.

The most common new lease there was a four-bedroom house, at $725 a week across 79 of them.

What changed

In June quarter 2026, the median weekly rent held at $680.

Demand & supply

Six signals show how demand, supply and rents are moving. Open Data & method on any signal for the figures, rule and source behind it.

The Australian Bureau of Statistics does not publish population for suburbs. What is shown is the figure for North Lakes, the statistical area containing North Lakes — it describes that wider area, not this suburb.

Population growth

Weak

How fast the population is growing, against the national rate.

Data & method
Population growth, North Lakes+0.6%the year to 30 June 2025
Population growth, Australia+1.5%the year to 30 June 2025

Strong when growth is at least half a percentage point above the national rate, weak when at least half a point below, moderate in between. Population is one ABS instrument measured the same way everywhere, so a market compares to Australia.

Main population driver

Net overseas migration

Which component moved the population most over the latest year the ABS splits it.

Data & method
Natural increase, North Lakes+135the year to 30 June 2025
Net internal migration, North Lakes−376the year to 30 June 2025
Net overseas migration, North Lakes+382the year to 30 June 2025

The largest of natural increase, net internal migration and net overseas migration by absolute size, so a large outflow is named rather than hidden inside a net total. This states which component was largest. It says nothing about why anyone moved.

Approved pipeline

Expanding

Whether dwelling approvals are running above or below the year before.

Data & method
Dwellings approved, North Lakes5June quarter 2026
The twelve months before, North Lakes2a year earlier
Change on the year before, North Lakes+150.0%June quarter 2026

Expanding above +10%, contracting below −10%, stable in between, comparing twelve months of approvals against the twelve before them. An approval is permission to build, not a dwelling. Where a market is smaller than the areas the Australian Bureau of Statistics counts approvals for, this is a blend of those areas' own changes, weighted by how much of each the market covers — not a count of approvals here.

Housing delivery

Moderate

How much housing is being finished, against how much is being started.

Data & method
Dwellings completed, Queensland8,035March quarter 2026
Dwellings started, Queensland9,885March quarter 2026
Completions as a share of commencements81%March quarter 2026

Strong at or above 95% of commencements, weak below 80%, moderate in between — completions in the quarter compared with commencements in the same quarter, both stated beside this rule. These figures compare pipeline flows and do not track individual approved dwellings through construction.

Rental pressure

Low

How fast achieved rents are rising, against the rest of the state.

Data & method
Rent change over a year, North Lakes+4.6%June quarter 2026
Rent change over a year, the middle suburb in Queensland+7.4%June quarter 2026

High when rents rose at least one percentage point faster than the state, low when at least a point slower, moderate in between. Compared against the state rather than the nation because each bond authority defines its own series: changes compare, levels do not.

Market coverage

Limited

How much of this market's picture was measured at this market's own geography.

Data & method
Demand evidencemeasured for a larger area containing this markethow it was made
Components present5 of 5on this page

Broad where the demand evidence was published for this geography and most components are present; partial where it was derived through an official ABS correspondence; limited where it describes a larger area containing this market, or where components are missing. This says nothing about how many observations sit behind any single figure — that is Sample strength, a separate reading.

Prices & Sales

Sale prices are not available for North Lakes

A sale-price series APRIQ can publish is not currently available for this market. Current rent, demand and supply data remain available on this page.

Rents & Yield

Median weekly rent$680publisher’s figure · June quarter 2026
Rent change — 1 yearUp 4.6%June quarter 2026 against a year earlier
Rent change — 5 yearsUp 51.1%June quarter 2026 against five years earlier
Rent change — since September quarter 2017Up 70.0%36 quarters of history

Rental momentum

Rising more slowly than the middle of Queensland

How rents here moved over a year, against the typical suburb in Queensland.

Data & method
Rent change over a year here+4.6%June quarter 2026 against a year earlier
The middle suburb in Queensland+7.4%June quarter 2026 against a year earlier
Difference−2.8 percentage pointsJune quarter 2026 against a year earlier
Markets in the comparison563June quarter 2026 against a year earlier

The difference between this market’s one-year rent change and the middle change across every suburb the same publisher reports, in percentage points: 3 or more above is well above, 1 above is above, within 1 either way is in line. Changes are compared within one state because each bond authority defines its own series — movement may be compared between them, the rent itself may not.

36 quarters of history

Quarterly achieved-rent history across the full published series for this market.

$400$500$600$700$68020172019202120232025

Current rent data for North Lakes

View source and methodology
Median weekly rent$680publisher’s figure · June quarter 2026

The numbers behind the chart

Quarter-by-quarter rent history for the full published series.

36 quarterly figures
QuarterMedian weekly rent Change on the quarter before
June quarter 2026$680No change
March quarter 2026$680Down 1.4%
December quarter 2025$690Up 1.5%
September quarter 2025$680Up 4.6%
June quarter 2025$650No change
March quarter 2025$650Up 4.0%
December quarter 2024$625No change
September quarter 2024$625Down 0.8%
June quarter 2024$630Up 1.6%
March quarter 2024$620Up 3.3%
December quarter 2023$600Up 1.7%
September quarter 2023$590Up 5.4%
June quarter 2023$560Up 1.8%
March quarter 2023$550No change
December quarter 2022$550No change
September quarter 2022$550Up 3.8%
June quarter 2022$530Up 9.3%
March quarter 2022$485Up 1.0%
December quarter 2021$480Up 6.7%
September quarter 2021$450No change
June quarter 2021$450Up 4.7%
March quarter 2021$430Up 2.4%
December quarter 2020$420No change
September quarter 2020$420No change
June quarter 2020$420Up 2.4%
March quarter 2020$410Down 2.4%
December quarter 2019$420Up 2.4%
September quarter 2019$410Down 1.2%
June quarter 2019$415Up 1.2%
March quarter 2019$410No change
December quarter 2018$410No change
September quarter 2018$410No change
June quarter 2018$410No change
March quarter 2018$410No change
December quarter 2017$410Up 2.5%
September quarter 2017$400—

There is no yield here because no current sale price exists to divide by — see Prices & Sales above for why.

Only New South Wales publishes rent quartiles, so the spread of rents within this market is not shown.

Markets with a similar median rent

The suburbs immediately above and below North Lakes when ranked by the same figure for the same period — nearby in the state ranking, not necessarily nearby on a map.

Suburb Median rentRent change — 1 year
Mount Sheridan$680Up 6.3%
Mount Warren Park$680Up 38.8%
Nikenbah$680Down 6.2%
North Lakes$680Up 4.6%
Red Hill$680Up 4.6%
Runcorn$680Up 7.1%
Scarborough$680Up 9.7%

Or put them in columns: Compare with similarly ranked markets.

What it costs by size

Latest achieved rents by dwelling type and bedroom count. Blank cells indicate no published figure for that combination.

SizeHousesTownhouses
3 bedrooms $65044 new leases$65021 new leases
4 bedrooms $72579 new leasesNot published

The rest of Moreton Bay Regional

North Lakes is inside Moreton Bay Regional, according to the Australian Bureau of Statistics boundary correspondence. The council itself has a figure of its own, computed over every bond inside the boundary rather than averaged from these.

Suburb Median weekly rent Rent change — 1 year New leases Compare
Newport$880Up 12.8%62
Albany Creek$800Up 14.3%71
Banksia Beach$780Up 6.8%21
Arana Hills$750Up 2.7%30
Everton Hills$750Up 7.9%61
Warner$750Up 10.3%83
Ferny Hills$720Up 10.8%33
Mango Hill$690Up 11.3%173
Sandstone Point$690Up 6.2%21
Burpengary East$680Up 6.3%139
North Lakes$680Up 4.6%182
Scarborough$680Up 9.7%80
Bray Park$675Up 3.8%67
Narangba$670Up 8.1%175
Murrumba Downs$665Up 10.8%67
Caboolture South$650Up 20.4%76
Griffin$650Up 2.4%153
Strathpine$650Up 10.2%98
Woody Point$650Up 13.0%56
Redcliffe$640Up 10.3%137
Petrie$630Up 12.5%55
Rothwell$630Up 1.6%52
Brendale$620Up 6.9%27
Burpengary$620Up 7.8%181
Lawnton$620Up 5.1%114
Bongaree$610Up 22.0%45
Dakabin$610Up 8.0%73
Kippa-Ring$610Up 10.9%65
Margate$610Up 16.2%84
Bellmere$600Up 9.1%61
Kallangur$600Up 3.4%226
Morayfield$600Up 3.4%499
Beachmere$590Down 6.3%35
Deception Bay$590Up 11.3%197
Upper Caboolture$580Up 5.5%51
Caboolture$550Up 3.8%365
Bellara$540Up 4.9%35
Joyner$495Down 29.3%64

Demand

Population data on suburb pages uses the ABS statistical area containing the suburb. The market card names that wider area; open Data & method for the geography and source.

Population pressure

Growing more slowly than Australia

How fast the population is changing in North Lakes, the wider area this market sits inside, against how fast Australia is changing.

The Australian Bureau of Statistics does not publish population for suburbs. What is shown is the rate for North Lakes, the statistical area containing North Lakes — it describes that wider area, not this suburb.

Data & method
Annual population growth, North Lakes+0.6%the year to 30 June 2025
Australia, the same year+1.5%the year to 30 June 2025
Difference−1.0 percentage pointsthe year to 30 June 2025
Growth a year over five years+0.8%the five years to 30 June 2025

The difference between this market’s annual population growth and Australia’s, in percentage points: 1.5 or more above is well above the national rate, 0.5 above is above it, within 0.5 either way is in line with it, and a fall is named as a fall. Both figures are ABS estimated resident population at 30 June, the same instrument measured the same way, so they may be compared directly.

Households — 2021 Census

Counted for North Lakes on Census night, 10 August 2021. A Census count is a stock on one night, not a series: it cannot show a trend, and five years on it describes 2021, not today. It is here because how many households there are and how many people share a dwelling are the denominators every demand question eventually needs.

Households — occupied private dwellings7,657one count: an occupied private dwelling on Census night is the ABS definition of a household
Average household size2.9 peopleper occupied private dwelling, across 7,657 of them

Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics, Census of Population and Housing 2021, General Community Profile (tables G02, G35, G36), used under CC BY 4.0. © Commonwealth of Australia (Australian Bureau of Statistics).

Supply

Approvals data on suburb pages uses the ABS statistical area containing the suburb. The market card names that wider area; open Data & method for the geography and source.

Approved housing pipeline

Approving well below the national rate

How many dwellings North Lakes — the wider area this market sits inside — approved over twelve months for every thousand residents, against the national rate. Approvals are permission to build, not completed dwellings.

The Australian Bureau of Statistics does not publish dwelling approvals for suburbs. What is shown is the rate for North Lakes, the statistical area containing North Lakes — it describes that wider area, not this suburb.

Data & method
Approved dwellings per 1,000 residents, North Lakes0.2the twelve months to June 2026
Australia, the same twelve months7.4the twelve months to June 2026
Change on the twelve months before+150.0%the twelve months to June 2026 against the twelve months to June 2025
People added per dwelling approved70.5the year to 30 June 2025

This market’s approved dwellings per thousand residents divided by Australia’s: twice the national rate or more is well above it, a quarter above is above it, within a fifth either way is in line, and below four fifths is below. Both are ABS building approvals over the same twelve months. An approval is permission to build — some of it lapses, and the rest completes months or years later — so this describes a pipeline and never housing that exists.

Dwelling stock — 2021 Census

Counted for North Lakes on Census night, 10 August 2021. The stock every approval above eventually adds to, as it stood on one night in 2021. The occupied count is the households figure under Demand — the ABS definition makes them one count, so it is printed once rather than twice. The occupied and unoccupied counts are separately rounded by the ABS and do not exactly sum to the total, so no missing figure is derived here.

Private dwellings7,971all private dwellings on Census night
Unoccupied on Census night311holiday homes and empty dwellings included; not a rental vacancy rate

Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics, Census of Population and Housing 2021, General Community Profile (tables G02, G35, G36), used under CC BY 4.0. © Commonwealth of Australia (Australian Bureau of Statistics).

Outlook

Forecasting

No APRIQ forward rent forecast is published for North Lakes yet. The forecasting model remains in historical backtesting.

The method’s public record so far, across every market at once and clearly a backtest, not a prediction: at 1 quarter ahead, 83.8% of 10,476 graded backtests landed inside their ranges, at a median width of ±7.9%.

See the full historical record on the forecast scorecard. Backtest results describe historical model performance, not a prediction for this market.

Sources & methodology

Check sample size, data period, geography, source and calculation rules for this market.

Sample strength

Moderate

How many observations sit behind the current figure on this page.

Data & method
New leases behind the current figure182June quarter 2026
Quarters of history36to June quarter 2026
How currentThe latest quarter published anywhereJune quarter 2026
OriginAs the publisher published itJune quarter 2026
KnowabilityDated by the publisher’s own release timingJune quarter 2026

Strong needs 200 or more new leases behind the current figure; moderate needs 50. Fewer than that reads as thin: one unusual property can move the figure. A withheld count cannot earn better than thin, because a suppressed number is unknown rather than small. How current the figure is, is a separate fact stated as dates beside this reading, never folded into this word.

Freshness

Which period the current rent figure describes, how it sits against the newest quarter published anywhere, and whose clock dated it — as dates, because a graded word would hide exactly the part worth checking.

DescribesJune quarter 2026
StandingThis is the latest quarter published anywhere.
Dated byDated by the publisher’s own release timing.
Coverage notes
  • What will happen next. No forward forecast is published for any market until the method has earned it on the public scorecard — every figure above is a measurement of what has already occurred.
  • Whether housing here is under- or over-supplied. That conclusion needs household formation, which no publisher releases at this level; APRIQ holds the components and refuses the leap.
  • How sale prices here are moving. Queensland sells its sale records commercially and publishes no openly licensed series at any level.
  • The spread of rents inside this market. Only New South Wales publishes the quartiles either side of its medians.
  • This suburb’s own population and approvals. The ABS publishes both by council area — Moreton Bay Regional’s figures are one click up; the Housing Balance above shows what can honestly be attached here, labelled.

Sources & methodology

Market data sources are named beside the figures above. APRIQ keeps the publication period, source, licence and calculation method available for inspection. See full sources & methodology →